Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2004 - 2005 - 2006



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Loren Spirito 11 Northridge 16:02 #16  
2  Matt Hammersmith 12 Prairie Heights 16:13 #28  
3  Jaurice Dye 11 Elkhart Memorial 16:24 #44  
4  Randy Placencia 12 Garrett 16:31 #54  
5  Ryan Smythe 10 Wawasee 16:31 #55  
6  Nathan Morrow 10 DeKalb 16:32 #58  
7  Ladd Mercer 10 Northridge 16:33 #63  
8  Andy Williams 12 Northridge 16:41 #86  
9  Chuck Wysong 11 West Noble 16:43 #92  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 342 #10  
2  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 400 #19  
3  West Noble West Noble 478 #28  
4  DeKalb West Noble 490 #32  

Other unranked teams:
Elkhart Central Elkhart Central 593



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.3 43 20 86 76.4 19.4 3.5 0.7 0.0
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 2.1 55 21 100 19.9 54.1 20.1 5.5 0.5
West Noble 100.0% 3.2 69 32 110 2.2 16.8 45.8 28.0 7.3
DeKalb 100.0% 3.6 74 35 112 1.5 9.3 26.6 52.8 9.8
Elkhart Central 100.0% 4.8 96 52 131 0.0 0.4 4.1 13.0 82.5


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Loren Spirito Northridge 16:02 100.0% 1.0 69.8 20.8 6.1 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Matt Hammersmith Prairie Heights 16:13 100.0% 1.7 21.4 39.6 18.1 9.8 5.3 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jaurice Dye Elkhart Memorial 16:24 100.0% 3.4 4.6 15.8 22.5 17.3 13.5 9.1 7.0 4.6 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Randy Placencia Garrett 16:31 100.0% 5.1 1.6 5.9 12.7 14.2 14.4 12.9 10.5 9.1 6.3 5.0 3.2 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ryan Smythe Wawasee 16:31 100.0% 5.1 1.4 6.0 12.4 14.8 14.4 13.2 10.8 8.6 6.3 4.9 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Nathan Morrow DeKalb 16:32 100.0% 5.3 1.1 5.4 11.1 13.8 14.8 13.5 11.5 10.0 7.0 4.8 3.4 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ladd Mercer Northridge 16:33 100.0% 5.4 0.0 4.8 10.7 14.2 14.0 14.4 12.0 9.8 7.8 5.1 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Andy Williams Northridge 16:41 100.0% 7.9 0.6 2.1 4.9 7.7 10.3 13.1 13.0 11.7 10.2 8.5 6.9 4.3 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chuck Wysong West Noble 16:43 100.0% 8.6 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.9 6.3 8.1 10.0 11.4 12.2 12.3 9.7 7.5 6.1 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0